Impact of Insecurity on the Mexican Economy 2020–2024

Inse­cu­rity in Mexi­co has had a sig­ni­fi­cant impact on the country’s eco­nomy over the past four years. Below are some of the main effects and sta­tis­tics that illus­tra­te this impact:

1. Direct Costs to Businesses

Inse­cu­rity has gene­ra­ted con­si­de­ra­ble direct costs for Mexi­can busi­nes­ses. The­se costs inclu­de expen­ses on addi­tio­nal secu­rity mea­su­res, extor­tion pay­ments, and los­ses due to theft. A study by the Con­fe­de­ra­tion of Emplo­yers of the Mexi­can Repu­blic (Copar­mex) esti­ma­tes that inse­cu­rity costs the busi­ness sec­tor around 1.5% of the Gross Domes­tic Pro­duct (GDP) annually, which is appro­xi­ma­tely $6.8 billion (info­bae) (Ani­mal Poli­ti­co).

2. Impact on Investment

The per­cep­tion of inse­cu­rity has dis­cou­ra­ged invest­ment, both domes­tic and foreign. Poten­tial inves­tors often con­si­der secu­rity a cru­cial fac­tor befo­re com­mit­ting capi­tal to a region. Areas with high levels of vio­len­ce and cri­mi­nal acti­vity, such as Michoa­cán, Gue­rre­ro, and Zaca­te­cas, have seen reduc­tions in invest­ment due to asso­cia­ted risks (Dia­rio de Méxi­co).

3. Losses in Tourism

The tou­rism sec­tor, one of the most impor­tant for the Mexi­can eco­nomy, has also been affec­ted by inse­cu­rity. Des­pi­te efforts to pro­mo­te tou­rism, vio­len­ce in tou­rist sta­tes such as Quin­ta­na Roo and Baja Cali­for­nia Sur has gene­ra­ted con­cern. Tou­rists, espe­cially inter­na­tio­nal ones, may opt for des­ti­na­tions per­cei­ved as safer, nega­ti­vely impac­ting the sec­to­r’s reve­nues (Ani­mal Poli­ti­co).

4. Business Displacement

In regions hea­vily affec­ted by vio­len­ce, some busi­nes­ses have opted to clo­se or relo­ca­te their ope­ra­tions to safer pla­ces. This results not only in direct job los­ses but also in a decrea­se in local eco­no­mic acti­vity and a reduc­tion in tax reve­nues for local and fede­ral govern­ments (Dia­rio de Méxi­co) (Ani­mal Poli­ti­co).

5. Impact on Entrepreneurship

Inse­cu­rity also affects entre­pre­neurship and the crea­tion of new busi­nes­ses. Entre­pre­neurs in inse­cu­re areas face addi­tio­nal risks, such as extor­tion and theft, which dis­cou­ra­ge inno­va­tion and eco­no­mic growth. Micro and small enter­pri­ses, fun­da­men­tal to the local eco­nomy, are par­ti­cu­larly vul­ne­ra­ble (Ani­mal Poli­ti­co).

6. Reduction in Consumption

Inse­cu­rity can lead to a decrea­se in inter­nal con­sum­ption, as peo­ple limit their outings and recrea­tio­nal acti­vi­ties out of fear of beco­ming cri­me vic­tims. This affects a wide ran­ge of sec­tors, inclu­ding retail, dining, and enter­tain­ment ser­vi­ces (info­bae).

Conclusion

In sum­mary, inse­cu­rity in Mexi­co has had a wides­pread adver­se effect on the eco­nomy, affec­ting invest­ment, tou­rism, busi­ness ope­ra­tions, and con­sum­ption. The per­sis­ten­ce of the­se pro­blems unders­co­res the need for effec­ti­ve and sus­tai­na­ble poli­cies to impro­ve secu­rity and fos­ter a more favo­ra­ble eco­no­mic envi­ron­ment.